Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 43.26%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.39%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
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