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Champions League | League Stage
Oct 22, 2024 at 8pm UK
Emirates Stadium
SD

Arsenal
1 - 0
Shakhtar

Riznyk (29' og.)
White (34'), Martinelli (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Pedrinho (90+6')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bournemouth 2-0 Arsenal
Saturday, October 19 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Shakhtar 0-1 Livyi Bereh
Saturday, February 22 at 12am in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 65.22%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 14.73%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.52%), while for a Shakhtar Donetsk win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
ArsenalDrawShakhtar Donetsk
65.22% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07) 20.04% (0.028000000000002 0.03) 14.73% (0.044 0.04)
Both teams to score 50.64% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.24% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)43.76% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.85% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)66.15% (0.040000000000006 0.04)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.38% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)12.62% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.25% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)38.75% (0.068000000000005 0.07)
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.96% (0.035000000000004 0.04)42.04% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.53% (0.032 0.03)78.47% (-0.029000000000011 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal 65.21%
    Shakhtar Donetsk 14.73%
    Draw 20.04%
ArsenalDrawShakhtar Donetsk
2-0 @ 11.36% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 10.98% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.85% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 7.84% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.8% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.06% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.52% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.94%
5-0 @ 1.68% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.52% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.46% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 65.21%
1-1 @ 9.52% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.31% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.27% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 20.04%
0-1 @ 4.6% (0.012 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.99% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.23% (0.002 0)
1-3 @ 1.19% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 14.73%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bournemouth 2-0 Arsenal
Saturday, October 19 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 3-1 Southampton
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 2-0 PSG
Tuesday, October 1 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Arsenal 4-2 Leicester
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 5-1 Bolton
Wednesday, September 25 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Man City 2-2 Arsenal
Sunday, September 22 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Kovalivka 0-1 Shakhtar
Friday, October 18 at 4pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Shakhtar 5-1 Cherkasy
Sunday, October 6 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Shakhtar 0-3 Atalanta
Wednesday, October 2 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Veres 1-1 Shakhtar
Friday, September 27 at 4.20pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Shakhtar 4-0 Obolon
Monday, September 23 at 4pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Bologna 0-0 Shakhtar
Wednesday, September 18 at 5.45pm in Champions League


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