Clermont will be desperate to claim a positive result to aid in their survival fight, but after losing four of their last five top-flight matches against Monaco, we think that the visitors could fall to another defeat in Saturday's encounter.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 61.47%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 17.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Clermont win it was 0-1 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
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