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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 22
Feb 5, 2023 at 12pm UK
Stade Gabriel Montpied
M

Clermont
0 - 2
Monaco


Khaoui (84')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Maripan (3'), Embolo (13')
Aguilar (75'), Minamino (85')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lille 0-0 Clermont
Wednesday, February 1 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 3-2 Auxerre
Wednesday, February 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Clermont 1-3 Monaco

Monaco have played aggressively throughout 2023, and although they tend to concede some quality scoring opportunities, they have been splendid in the attacking third all year, and we expect them to find the back of the net a few times this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 47.97%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 26.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Clermont win was 1-0 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
ClermontDrawMonaco
26.92% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07) 25.1% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04) 47.97% (0.111 0.11)
Both teams to score 53.23% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.31% (0.105 0.1)49.69% (-0.106 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.29% (0.092000000000002 0.09)71.71% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Clermont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.16% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)32.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)69.41% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.26% (0.090000000000003 0.09)20.74% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.63% (0.142 0.14)53.36% (-0.143 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Clermont 26.92%
    Monaco 47.97%
    Draw 25.1%
ClermontDrawMonaco
1-0 @ 7.58% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-1 @ 6.64% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.22% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.47% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.94% (0.002 0)
3-0 @ 1.57% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 26.92%
1-1 @ 11.93% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.81% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.1%
0-1 @ 10.71% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.39% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.43% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.92% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 4.42% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.74% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.94% (0.014 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.74% (0.011 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.08% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 47.97%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lille 0-0 Clermont
Wednesday, February 1 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 0-0 Nantes
Sunday, January 29 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Angers 1-2 Clermont
Sunday, January 15 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 2-1 Rennes
Wednesday, January 11 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 0-1 Clermont
Sunday, January 1 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 0-2 Lille
Wednesday, December 28 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 3-2 Auxerre
Wednesday, February 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 1-1 Monaco
Saturday, January 28 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 7-1 Ajaccio
Sunday, January 15 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 2-2 Monaco
Wednesday, January 11 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 1-0 Brest
Sunday, January 1 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Auxerre 2-3 Monaco
Wednesday, December 28 at 4pm in Ligue 1


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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