Monaco have played aggressively throughout 2023, and although they tend to concede some quality scoring opportunities, they have been splendid in the attacking third all year, and we expect them to find the back of the net a few times this weekend.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 47.97%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 26.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Clermont win was 1-0 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.