SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 58.1%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 20.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.74%) and 1-0 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
58.1% ( 0.88) | 21.22% ( -0.43) | 20.68% ( -0.45) |
| Both teams to score 58.8% ( 0.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.13% ( 1.37) | 38.86% ( -1.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.82% ( 1.42) | 61.18% ( -1.42) |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.84% ( 0.71) | 13.16% ( -0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.15% ( 1.43) | 39.85% ( -1.43) |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.71% ( 0.35) | 32.29% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.21% ( 0.4) | 68.79% ( -0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Monaco | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.74% ( -0.1)1-0 @ 8.62% ( -0.33)3-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.13)4-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.17)4-0 @ 3% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.11)5-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.1)5-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.63% Total : 58.1% | 1-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.28)3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.22% | 1-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.27)0-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.45% Total : 20.68% |
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