Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 39.89%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 1-0 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
-1.2) 
0.26) 
