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Serie A | Gameweek 9
Oct 26, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
HV

Atalanta
6 - 1
Hellas Verona

de Roon (6'), Retegui (9', 58'), De Ketelaere (14'), Lookman (29', 34')
FT(HT: 5-1)
Sarr (42')
Bradaric (16')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atalanta 0-0 Celtic
Wednesday, October 23 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Hellas Verona 0-3 Monza
Monday, October 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 3-1 Hellas Verona

Atalanta should take care of business against a Verona side that has been shipping plenty of goals, already conceding three on four separate occasions. Posting a third league win on the spin would keep La Dea in the mix for top spot, as they look to stay the pace with several Scudetto contenders. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 70.33%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 10.84%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.11%) and 3-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawHellas Verona
70.33% (0.17999999999999 0.18) 18.83% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08) 10.84% (-0.104 -0.1)
Both teams to score 43.13% (-0.106 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.34% (0.053000000000004 0.05)47.66% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.15% (0.050999999999998 0.05)69.85% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.67% (0.066000000000003 0.07)12.33% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.86% (0.13800000000001 0.14)38.14% (-0.141 -0.14)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.2% (-0.16 -0.16)50.8% (0.15799999999999 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.79% (-0.109 -0.11)85.21% (0.107 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 70.33%
    Hellas Verona 10.84%
    Draw 18.83%
Atalanta BCDrawHellas Verona
2-0 @ 13.72% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-0 @ 13.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 9.57% (0.052 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 5.01% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.39% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.1% (0.022 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.42% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 70.33%
1-1 @ 8.88% (-0.037999999999998 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.26% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 18.83%
0-1 @ 4.24% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-2 @ 3.01% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.44% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 10.84%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Atalanta 0-0 Celtic
Wednesday, October 23 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Venezia 0-2 Atalanta
Sunday, October 20 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 5-1 Genoa
Saturday, October 5 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Shakhtar 0-3 Atalanta
Wednesday, October 2 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Bologna 1-1 Atalanta
Saturday, September 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 2-3 Como
Tuesday, September 24 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 0-3 Monza
Monday, October 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 2-1 Venezia
Friday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Como 3-2 Hellas Verona
Sunday, September 29 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 2-3 Torino
Friday, September 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 2-1 Hellas Verona
Monday, September 16 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 0-2 Hellas Verona
Sunday, September 1 at 5.30pm in Serie A


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