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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 47.65%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atlanta United | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
47.65% ( -1.91) | 23.47% ( 0.54) | 28.88% ( 1.38) |
| Both teams to score 60.22% ( -0.82) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.83% ( -1.55) | 41.17% ( 1.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.44% ( -1.6) | 63.57% ( 1.6) |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.49% ( -1.3) | 17.51% ( 1.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.98% ( -2.32) | 48.02% ( 2.32) |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73% ( 0.16) | 27% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.65% ( 0.2) | 62.36% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atlanta United | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
| 2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.23)2-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.3)3-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.25)3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.18)4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.24)4-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.19)4-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.15)Other @ 3.89% Total : 47.65% | 1-1 @ 10.78% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.33)3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.46% | 1-2 @ 7.06% ( 0.26) 0-1 @ 6.19% ( 0.45)0-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.31)1-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.14)1-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.03% Total : 28.88% |
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