Cincinnati
1 - 2
Atlanta

Bailey (21')
Stanko (33'), Matarrita (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Robinson (70'), Martinez (79')
Hernandez (64'), Araujo (86')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 31.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.

Result
FC Cincinnati	Draw	Atlanta United
31.72%	25.53%	42.74%

Both teams to score 54.74%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.94%

49.06%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.86%

71.14%

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.95%

29.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.04%

64.97%

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.15%

22.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.42%

56.58%

Score Analysis

FC Cincinnati 31.72%

Atlanta United 42.74%

Draw 25.53%

FC Cincinnati	Draw	Atlanta United
1-0 @ 8.21% 2-1 @ 7.49% 2-0 @ 5.07% 3-1 @ 3.09% 3-2 @ 2.28% 3-0 @ 2.09% 4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.56% Total : 31.72%	1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 6.64% 2-2 @ 5.53% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.53%	0-1 @ 9.8% 1-2 @ 8.94% 0-2 @ 7.23% 1-3 @ 4.4% 0-3 @ 3.56% 2-3 @ 2.72% 1-4 @ 1.62% 0-4 @ 1.31% 2-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.15% Total : 42.74%