Major League Soccer

Aug 14, 2022 at 12.30am UK

Nippert Stadium

Cincinnati
2 - 2
Atlanta

Vazquez (29'), Brenner (41')
Barreal (14'), Miazga (58'), Blackett (78')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Almada (17'), Gutman (83')
Wiley (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: FC Cincinnati 3-2 Atlanta United

As good as Atlanta have played versus Cincinnati in previous years, this is not nearly the same Orange and Blue side that we have seen in past seasons. They may still allow their share of openings on the back end, but Cincy's quality in the final third is difficult for even the most well-organised defensive units to contain, while the Five Stripes struggle away from home, without a win in their last nine road games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
FC Cincinnati	Draw	Atlanta United
42.63% ( 0.2)	24.97% ( -0.3)	32.4% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 56.91% (

1.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.65% (

1.36)

46.35% (

-1.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.36% (

1.27)

68.64% (

-1.26)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.26% (

0.67)

21.74% (

-0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.09% (

1.02)

54.92% (

-1.01)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.72% (

0.73)

27.28% (

-0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.28% (

0.94)

62.72% (

-0.93)

Score Analysis

FC Cincinnati 42.63%

Atlanta United 32.4%

Draw 24.96%

FC Cincinnati	Draw	Atlanta United
1-0 @ 9.05% ( -0.34) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 4.56% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.46% Total : 42.63%	1-1 @ 11.75% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.35) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.96%	0-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.28) 1-2 @ 7.64% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.98% Total : 32.4%