Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 39.89%. A win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Atletico Goianiense win was 1-0 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cruzeiro in this match.
-0.3) 
0.36) 
