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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Junior win with a probability of 45.2%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Universitario had a probability of 26.02%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Junior win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 2-1 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for a Universitario win it was 0-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Junior | Draw | Universitario |
45.2% ( 0.12) | 28.78% ( -0.1) | 26.02% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 42.27% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.53% ( 0.28) | 63.47% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.19% ( 0.2) | 82.81% ( -0.2) |
| Atletico Junior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.85% ( 0.2) | 28.14% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.17% ( 0.26) | 63.82% ( -0.26) |
| Universitario Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.83% ( 0.14) | 41.17% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.29% ( 0.12) | 77.7% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Junior | Draw | Universitario |
| 1-0 @ 14.68% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 9.31% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.49% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.6% Total : 45.19% | 1-1 @ 13.03% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 11.58% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.49% Total : 28.77% | 0-1 @ 10.28% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.35% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.24% Total : 26.02% |
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