Atletico Mineiro may be coming into this game on the back of two consecutive defeats with eight goals conceded in that time, but they have not lost to Fortaleza at home since 2021, leading us to believe the home side will win this one.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 58.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 18.93%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
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