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Bundesliga | Gameweek 21
Feb 10, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
WWK Arena
LL

Augsburg
2 - 2
RB Leipzig

Tietz (35'), Demirovic (60')
Gouweleeuw (55'), Jakic (64'), Vargas (70'), Dahmen (81'), Mbabu (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Openda (39'), Sesko (52')
Raum (73')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-1 Augsburg
Saturday, February 3 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-0 Union Berlin
Sunday, February 4 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Augsburg 2-3 RB Leipzig

Leipzig have scored 13 goals in their last four meetings with Augsburg and snatched a draw from the jaws of defeat on their last trip to the WWK Arena, recovering from 3-0 down to draw 3-3. After conceding 13 goals in their last five away games in all competitions, a similar game could play out here, and last week's win may give Leipzig added confidence which could see them edge this encounter against an Augsburg side who need to get themselves out of a rut sooner rather than later. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 60.83%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 19.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.53%) and 0-1 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for an Augsburg win it was 2-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
AugsburgDrawRB Leipzig
19.15% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 20.01% (-0.02 -0.02) 60.83% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 60.54% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.6% (0.079999999999998 0.08)35.4% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.56% (0.088000000000001 0.09)57.44% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.26% (0.042000000000002 0.04)31.74% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.83% (0.047999999999998 0.05)68.17% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.69% (0.030000000000001 0.03)11.31% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.04% (0.066000000000003 0.07)35.96% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 19.15%
    RB Leipzig 60.84%
    Draw 20.01%
AugsburgDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 5.15% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-0 @ 4.12% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 2.36% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.15% (0.004 0)
3-1 @ 1.97% (0.002 0)
3-0 @ 0.9% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 19.15%
1-1 @ 8.98% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.61% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 3.59% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.56% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 20.01%
1-2 @ 9.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 8.53% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.83% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 7.11% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-3 @ 6.2% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-3 @ 4.08% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 3.87% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 3.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 2.22% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.69% (0.006 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-5 @ 0.97% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 60.84%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-1 Augsburg
Saturday, February 3 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 2-3 Bayern
Saturday, January 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 1-2 Augsburg
Sunday, January 21 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 0-1 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, January 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 3-0 Augsburg
Wednesday, December 20 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 1-1 Dortmund
Saturday, December 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-0 Union Berlin
Sunday, February 4 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 5-2 RB Leipzig
Saturday, January 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-3 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, January 20 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 0-1 Frankfurt
Saturday, January 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-1 RB Leipzig
Tuesday, December 19 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, December 16 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga


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