Lebanon have proven themselves hard to break down and defeat in the World Cup qualifiers so far, but this will be their toughest test to date. The host should end up having too much quality in this one, so we are backing them to live up to their status as firm favourites. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 49.75%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Lebanon had a probability of 23.16%.

The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Lebanon win it was 0-1 (8.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Australia would win this match.

Result
Australia	Draw	Lebanon
49.75% ( -0)	27.1% ( 0)	23.16% ( -0)

Both teams to score 44.13% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.15% (

-0)

59.85% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.88% (

-0)

80.12% (

Australia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.77% (

-0)

24.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.43% (

-0)

58.57% (

Lebanon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.24% (

-0)

41.76% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.77% (

-0)

78.23% (

Score Analysis

Australia 49.74%

Lebanon 23.16%

Draw 27.08%

Australia	Draw	Lebanon
1-0 @ 14.34% 2-0 @ 10.16% 2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.81% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.2% 3-2 @ 1.83% 4-0 @ 1.7% 4-1 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.33% Total : 49.74%	1-1 @ 12.52% 0-0 @ 10.11% 2-2 @ 3.88% Other @ 0.58% Total : 27.08%	0-1 @ 8.83% 1-2 @ 5.47% 0-2 @ 3.86% 1-3 @ 1.59% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.13% 0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 1.16% Total : 23.16%