Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Belgium | 5 | 12 | 13 |
2 | Austria | 5 | 8 | 13 |
3 | Sweden | 5 | 3 | 6 |
4 | Azerbaijan | 4 | -9 | 1 |
5 | Estonia | 5 | -14 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 36.97%. A win for Austria had a probability of 36.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.11%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Austria win was 1-0 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Belgium would win this match.
Result | ||
Austria | Draw | Belgium |
36.19% (![]() | 26.84% (![]() | 36.97% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.43% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.28% (![]() | 53.72% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.8% (![]() | 75.2% (![]() |
Austria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.49% (![]() | 28.51% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.71% (![]() | 64.29% (![]() |
Belgium Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.95% (![]() | 28.05% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.29% (![]() | 63.71% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Austria | Draw | Belgium |
1-0 @ 10.03% (![]() 2-1 @ 8% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.3% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.35% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.63% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.13% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.7% Total : 36.19% | 1-1 @ 12.75% (![]() 0-0 @ 8% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.09% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.9% ( ![]() Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.83% | 0-1 @ 10.16% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.11% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.46% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.44% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.74% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.16% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.09% ( ![]() Other @ 2.81% Total : 36.96% |
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