SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Netherlands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Poland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Austria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for Serbia had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Serbia win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Austria in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Austria.
| Result | ||
| Austria | Draw | Serbia |
41.1% ( -0.97) | 25.64% ( 0.14) | 33.26% ( 0.83) |
| Both teams to score 54.94% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.96% ( -0.39) | 49.03% ( 0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.89% ( -0.35) | 71.11% ( 0.36) |
| Austria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.35% ( -0.65) | 23.64% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.26% ( -0.95) | 57.74% ( 0.95) |
| Serbia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.95% ( 0.34) | 28.04% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.3% ( 0.43) | 63.7% ( -0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Austria | Draw | Serbia |
| 1-0 @ 9.56% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 6.89% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 4.21% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.99% Total : 41.1% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.63% | 0-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.8% Total : 33.26% |
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