SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Belgium | 7 | 13 | 17 |
| 2 | Austria | 7 | 8 | 16 |
| 3 | Sweden | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Azerbaijan | 6 | -8 | 4 |
| 5 | Estonia | 6 | -16 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 48.28%. A win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 26.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (8.86%). The likeliest Azerbaijan win was 1-0 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Azerbaijan | Draw | Sweden |
26.08% ( -1.05) | 25.64% ( -0.4) | 48.28% ( 1.44) |
| Both teams to score 50.88% ( 0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.57% ( 0.88) | 52.43% ( -0.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.89% ( 0.75) | 74.1% ( -0.75) |
| Azerbaijan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.01% ( -0.38) | 34.99% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.26% ( -0.4) | 71.73% ( 0.4) |
| Sweden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.27% ( 1.01) | 21.72% ( -1.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.1% ( 1.53) | 54.89% ( -1.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Azerbaijan | Draw | Sweden |
| 1-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.37) 2-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.16)2-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.24)3-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.09% Total : 26.08% | 1-1 @ 12.18% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.27)2-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.96% Total : 25.63% | 0-1 @ 11.6% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 9.3% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 8.86% ( 0.23)1-3 @ 4.73% ( 0.21)0-3 @ 4.51% ( 0.25)2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 1.81% ( 0.13)0-4 @ 1.72% ( 0.14)2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.31% Total : 48.28% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
