Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 49.47%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 24.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (8.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.
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