Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 61.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 15.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.2%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.
0.23) 
-0.24) 
