Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 64.58%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Vitoria had a probability of 14.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.47%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Vitoria win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.
-1.15) 
0.64) 
