Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 42.26%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-0 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
