SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 64.29%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Molde had a probability of 17.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.62%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.54%), while for a Molde win it was 1-2 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Molde |
64.29% ( -0.01) | 18.1% ( 0) | 17.6% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 64.88% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.42% ( 0.01) | 28.57% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.54% ( 0.01) | 49.45% ( -0.01) |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.48% ( -0) | 8.52% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.5% ( -0) | 29.5% ( 0) |
| Molde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.91% ( 0.02) | 29.08% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35% ( 0.02) | 65% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Molde |
| 2-1 @ 9.28% 3-1 @ 7.62% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.51% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.17% ( -0)1-0 @ 6.1% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.71% ( 0)4-1 @ 4.69% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.8% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.9% ( 0)5-1 @ 2.31% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.87% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.43% 4-3 @ 1.19% ( 0)6-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.77% Total : 64.29% | 1-1 @ 7.54% 2-2 @ 5.73% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.48% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.94% ( 0)Other @ 0.42% Total : 18.1% | 1-2 @ 4.65% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.06% 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.92% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.89% ( 0)Other @ 3.73% Total : 17.6% |
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