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Bundesliga | Gameweek 25
Mar 10, 2024 at 6.30pm UK
BayArena
W

B. Leverkusen
2 - 0
Wolfsburg

Tella (37'), Wirtz (86')
Adli (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gerhardt (7'), Jenz (12')
Jenz (28')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-3 Stuttgart
Saturday, March 2 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 3-0 Wolfsburg

No team in Germany or on the continent appear capable of stopping Leverkusen at the moment, despite a wobble in midweek, and the league leaders should cruise to another victory this weekend. Wolfsburg have been leaking goals with regularity in 2024 so far, and that has contributed to the fact they are still yet to win since returning from the winter break, and they are unlikely to break that duck in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 68.13%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 14.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 1-0 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.16%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (4.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawWolfsburg
68.13% (-0.44799999999999 -0.45) 17.84% (0.26 0.26) 14.03% (0.189 0.19)
Both teams to score 56.7% (-0.463 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.04% (-0.836 -0.84)34.95% (0.836 0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.06% (-0.941 -0.94)56.94% (0.943 0.94)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.62% (-0.32199999999999 -0.32)9.37% (0.3239 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.43% (-0.77 -0.77)31.56% (0.771 0.77)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.56% (-0.286 -0.29)37.44% (0.287 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.78% (-0.281 -0.28)74.22% (0.283 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 68.13%
    Wolfsburg 14.03%
    Draw 17.84%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawWolfsburg
2-0 @ 9.83% (0.131 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.054 0.05)
1-0 @ 8.31% (0.23 0.23)
3-0 @ 7.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.62% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
4-0 @ 4.59% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-1 @ 4.51% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-2 @ 3.75% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-2 @ 2.22% (-0.072 -0.07)
5-0 @ 2.17% (-0.068 -0.07)
5-1 @ 2.14% (-0.084 -0.08)
5-2 @ 1.05% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 4.53%
Total : 68.13%
1-1 @ 8.16% (0.164 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.75% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.51% (0.147 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 17.84%
1-2 @ 4.01% (0.05 0.05)
0-1 @ 3.45% (0.119 0.12)
0-2 @ 1.69% (0.046 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.31% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 14.03%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Qarabag 2-2 B. Leverkusen
Thursday, March 7 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: FC Koln 0-2 B. Leverkusen
Sunday, March 3 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-1 Mainz
Friday, February 23 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Heidenheim 1-2 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, February 17 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 3-0 Bayern
Saturday, February 10 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 3-2 Stuttgart
Tuesday, February 6 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-3 Stuttgart
Saturday, March 2 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 2-2 Wolfsburg
Sunday, February 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-1 Dortmund
Saturday, February 17 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 1-0 Wolfsburg
Saturday, February 10 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-2 Hoffenheim
Sunday, February 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-1 FC Koln
Saturday, January 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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