SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 44.83%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 29.13% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Union Berlin in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Union Berlin.
| Result | ||
| Union Berlin | Draw | Wolfsburg |
44.83% ( 0.1) | 26.04% ( 0.11) | 29.13% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 51.82% ( -0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.75% ( -0.58) | 52.25% ( 0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.05% ( -0.5) | 73.95% ( 0.5) |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.77% ( -0.2) | 23.23% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.86% ( -0.29) | 57.14% ( 0.28) |
| Wolfsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.5% ( -0.47) | 32.5% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.97% ( -0.52) | 69.02% ( 0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union Berlin | Draw | Wolfsburg |
| 1-0 @ 11.01% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 4.4% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.9% ( -0.02)Other @ 2% Total : 44.82% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.04% | 0-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 6.96% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.62% Total : 29.13% |
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