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Bundesliga | Gameweek 28
Apr 16, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
 
LL

Wolfsburg
0 - 0
B. Leverkusen

 
FT

Amiri (61'), Hincapie (72'), Odilon (77'), Diaby (85'), Wirtz (88')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Borussia M'bach 2-0 Wolfsburg
Sunday, April 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Wolfsburg 1-1 Bayer Leverkusen

Both teams can be proud of how much they have improved as the season has worn on under their new managers, and we can envisage a hard-fought battle between two well-coached sides. Neither side will want to lose with European qualification still up for grabs, and it would not be a surprise if the match plays out with a share of the spoils as the result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 44.81%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 31.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.81%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 2-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
WolfsburgDrawBayer Leverkusen
31.52% (-1.017 -1.02) 23.66% (0.468 0.47) 44.81% (0.548 0.55)
Both teams to score 61.14% (-2.201 -2.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.35% (-2.69 -2.69)40.65% (2.69 2.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.97% (-2.814 -2.81)63.03% (2.813 2.81)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.95% (-1.893 -1.89)25.04% (1.892 1.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.28% (-2.698 -2.7)59.72% (2.698 2.7)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.57% (-0.854 -0.85)18.43% (0.854 0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.4% (-1.463 -1.46)49.6% (1.464 1.46)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 31.52%
    Bayer Leverkusen 44.81%
    Draw 23.65%
WolfsburgDrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 7.48% (-0.091 -0.09)
1-0 @ 6.39% (0.437 0.44)
2-0 @ 4.42% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.45% (-0.241 -0.24)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.292 -0.29)
3-0 @ 2.04% (-0.083 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.2% (-0.156 -0.16)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.164 -0.16)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 31.52%
1-1 @ 10.8% (0.45 0.45)
2-2 @ 6.33% (-0.257 -0.26)
0-0 @ 4.62% (0.546 0.55)
3-3 @ 1.65% (-0.214 -0.21)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.65%
1-2 @ 9.14% (0.141 0.14)
0-1 @ 7.81% (0.732 0.73)
0-2 @ 6.6% (0.451 0.45)
1-3 @ 5.15% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-3 @ 3.72% (0.157 0.16)
2-3 @ 3.57% (-0.249 -0.25)
1-4 @ 2.18% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.57% (0.024 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.51% (-0.15 -0.15)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 44.81%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 2-0 Wolfsburg
Sunday, April 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-2 Augsburg
Saturday, April 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 0-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, March 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-1 Union Berlin
Sunday, March 12 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-2 Frankfurt
Sunday, March 5 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: FC Koln 0-2 Wolfsburg
Saturday, February 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 1-1 Union SG
Thursday, April 13 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 3-1 Frankfurt
Saturday, April 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Schalke 0-3 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, April 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-1 Bayern
Sunday, March 19 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Ferencvaros 0-2 B. Leverkusen
Thursday, March 16 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Werder Bremen 2-3 B. Leverkusen
Sunday, March 12 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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