SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 44.81%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 31.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.81%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 2-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Wolfsburg | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
31.52% ( -1.02) | 23.66% ( 0.47) | 44.81% ( 0.55) |
| Both teams to score 61.14% ( -2.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.35% ( -2.69) | 40.65% ( 2.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.97% ( -2.81) | 63.03% ( 2.81) |
| Wolfsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.95% ( -1.89) | 25.04% ( 1.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.28% ( -2.7) | 59.72% ( 2.7) |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.57% ( -0.85) | 18.43% ( 0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.4% ( -1.46) | 49.6% ( 1.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wolfsburg | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 2-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.44)2-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 3.45% ( -0.24)3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.29)3-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.16)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.16)Other @ 2.61% Total : 31.52% | 1-1 @ 10.8% ( 0.45) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.26)0-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.55)3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.21)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.65% | 1-2 @ 9.14% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.73)0-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.45)1-3 @ 5.15% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 3.72% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.25)1-4 @ 2.18% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.15)Other @ 3.57% Total : 44.81% |
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