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Bundesliga | Gameweek 11
Oct 22, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
BayArena
W

B. Leverkusen
2 - 2
Wolfsburg

Diaby (17'), Frimpong (76')
Tah (49'), Andrich (80'), Fosu-Mensah (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Andrich (28' og.), Arnold (54' pen.)
Nmecha (60')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 2-2 Wolfsburg

Amazingly, the side at home in this fixture have failed to win in the last 12 head-to-head's between the sides, and given Leverkusen's recent form, that looks unlikely to change. Also, eight of Leverkusen's 10 Bundesliga matches this season have seen three goals or more, but many have gone in at the wrong end for Bayer, so if Wolfsburg can capitalise on that, they should leave with something. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 61.91%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 17.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.28%) and 1-0 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawWolfsburg
61.91% (-2.964 -2.96) 20.11% (0.799 0.8) 17.97% (2.165 2.17)
Both teams to score 57.83% (1.944 1.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.11% (0.29 0.29)37.88% (-0.291 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.86% (0.309 0.31)60.14% (-0.309 -0.31)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.23% (-0.703 -0.7)11.77% (0.701 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.04% (-1.525 -1.53)36.95% (1.525 1.53)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.54% (2.703 2.7)34.45% (-2.704 -2.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.83% (2.778 2.78)71.16% (-2.779 -2.78)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 61.91%
    Wolfsburg 17.97%
    Draw 20.11%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawWolfsburg
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.28% (-0.68 -0.68)
1-0 @ 8.68% (-0.375 -0.38)
3-1 @ 7.05% (-0.183 -0.18)
3-0 @ 6.62% (-0.689 -0.69)
4-1 @ 3.77% (-0.209 -0.21)
3-2 @ 3.76% (0.177 0.18)
4-0 @ 3.54% (-0.481 -0.48)
4-2 @ 2.01% (0.04 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.62% (-0.138 -0.14)
5-0 @ 1.52% (-0.256 -0.26)
Other @ 4.17%
Total : 61.91%
1-1 @ 9.25% (0.284 0.28)
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.387 0.39)
0-0 @ 4.06% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.153 0.15)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 20.11%
1-2 @ 4.93% (0.49 0.49)
0-1 @ 4.32% (0.25 0.25)
0-2 @ 2.3% (0.287 0.29)
2-3 @ 1.87% (0.261 0.26)
1-3 @ 1.75% (0.286 0.29)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 17.97%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Frankfurt 5-1 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, October 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 0-3 Porto
Wednesday, October 12 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 4-0 Schalke
Saturday, October 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Porto 2-0 B. Leverkusen
Tuesday, October 4 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Bayern 4-0 B. Leverkusen
Friday, September 30 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 1-1 Werder Bremen
Saturday, September 17 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Braunschweig 1-2 Wolfsburg
Tuesday, October 18 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-2 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, October 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 1-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, October 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 3-2 Stuttgart
Saturday, October 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-0 Wolfsburg
Sunday, September 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 0-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, September 10 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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