Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 61.91%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 17.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.28%) and 1-0 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Wolfsburg |
61.91% ( -2.96) | 20.11% ( 0.8) | 17.97% ( 2.17) |
Both teams to score 57.83% ( 1.94) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.11% ( 0.29) | 37.88% ( -0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.86% ( 0.31) | 60.14% ( -0.31) |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.23% ( -0.7) | 11.77% ( 0.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.04% ( -1.53) | 36.95% ( 1.53) |
Wolfsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.54% ( 2.7) | 34.45% ( -2.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.83% ( 2.78) | 71.16% ( -2.78) |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Wolfsburg |
2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.68) 1-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.38) 3-1 @ 7.05% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 6.62% ( -0.69) 4-1 @ 3.77% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.18) 4-0 @ 3.54% ( -0.48) 4-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.14) 5-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.26) Other @ 4.17% Total : 61.91% | 1-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.39) 0-0 @ 4.06% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.21% Total : 20.11% | 1-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.49) 0-1 @ 4.32% ( 0.25) 0-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.29) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.26) 1-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.29) Other @ 2.8% Total : 17.97% |
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