SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 64.59%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Henan had a probability of 17.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.8%) and 3-1 (7.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.69%), while for a Henan win it was 1-2 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Beijing Guoan | Draw | Henan |
64.59% ( -0) | 18.16% | 17.25% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 63.83% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.45% ( 0) | 29.55% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.35% ( 0) | 50.65% ( -0) |
| Beijing Guoan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.28% | 8.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70% | 30% |
| Henan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.93% ( 0) | 30.07% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.8% ( 0) | 66.2% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Beijing Guoan | Draw | Henan |
| 2-1 @ 9.38% 2-0 @ 7.8% ( -0)3-1 @ 7.62% 1-0 @ 6.4% 3-0 @ 6.35% 4-1 @ 4.65% 3-2 @ 4.58% 4-0 @ 3.87% 4-2 @ 2.79% 5-1 @ 2.27% 5-0 @ 1.89% 5-2 @ 1.36% 4-3 @ 1.12% 6-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.59% Total : 64.59% | 1-1 @ 7.69% 2-2 @ 5.63% 0-0 @ 2.62% 3-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 0.38% Total : 18.16% | 1-2 @ 4.62% 0-1 @ 3.15% 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.89% 1-3 @ 1.85% Other @ 3.48% Total : 17.25% |
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