SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 43.62%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.59%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Belgrano | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
43.62% ( -0.04) | 28.1% ( -0.02) | 28.27% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 45.4% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.75% ( 0.11) | 60.25% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.57% ( 0.09) | 80.43% ( -0.08) |
| Belgrano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.56% ( 0.03) | 27.44% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.08% ( 0.04) | 62.92% ( -0.04) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.56% ( 0.12) | 37.44% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.78% ( 0.12) | 74.22% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Belgrano | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
| 1-0 @ 13.28% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.7% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.64% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.2% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.18% ( 0)Other @ 1.81% Total : 43.62% | 1-1 @ 13.05% 0-0 @ 10.27% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.15% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.1% | 0-1 @ 10.09% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.73% Total : 28.27% |
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