SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for Gimnasia had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.48%) and 2-1 (8.25%). The likeliest Gimnasia win was 0-1 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Belgrano | Draw | Gimnasia |
42.74% ( 0.31) | 28.55% ( 0.06) | 28.71% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 44.43% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.42% ( -0.34) | 61.57% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.58% ( -0.25) | 81.42% ( 0.25) |
| Belgrano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.45% ( 0) | 28.55% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.66% ( 0.01) | 64.34% ( -0.01) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.18% ( -0.48) | 37.81% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.41% ( -0.47) | 74.59% ( 0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Belgrano | Draw | Gimnasia |
| 1-0 @ 13.53% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.11)2-1 @ 8.25% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.45% 3-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.62% Total : 42.73% | 1-1 @ 13.16% 0-0 @ 10.79% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.55% | 0-1 @ 10.49% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.4% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.68% Total : 28.7% |
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