Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 84.87%. A draw had a probability of 10.1% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 4-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.72%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 1-2 (1.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result | ||
Benfica | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
84.87% (![]() | 10.13% (![]() | 5% (![]() |
Both teams to score 47.06% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
73.16% (![]() | 26.84% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52.71% (![]() | 47.29% (![]() |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.61% (![]() | 4.39% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
81.88% (![]() | 18.12% (![]() |
Estrela Amadora Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.22% (![]() | 50.78% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.81% (![]() | 85.19% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Benfica | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
3-0 @ 11.34% (![]() 2-0 @ 10.89% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 8.87% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.69% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 7.38% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 6.97% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 6.01% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 5.54% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 3.76% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 2.89% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.61% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.04% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.96% ( ![]() 7-0 @ 1.29% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.27% ( ![]() Other @ 4.37% Total : 84.86% | 1-1 @ 4.72% (![]() 2-2 @ 2.5% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.23% ( ![]() Other @ 0.67% Total : 10.13% | 1-2 @ 1.6% (![]() 0-1 @ 1.51% ( ![]() Other @ 1.89% Total : 5% |
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