SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 60.49%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Marseille had a probability of 18.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 1-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Marseille win it was 1-2 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Benfica in this match.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Marseille |
60.49% ( -0.01) | 21.03% ( 0) | 18.48% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.56% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.67% ( -0.01) | 41.33% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.27% ( -0.01) | 63.72% ( 0.01) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.76% ( -0.01) | 13.24% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 59.98% ( -0.02) | 40.01% ( 0.01) |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.04% ( 0) | 35.96% ( -0) |
