SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 79.39%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 7.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.81%) and 1-0 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.28%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (2.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | SC Farense |
79.39% ( -0.05) | 13.31% ( 0.03) | 7.29% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.67% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.59% ( -0.12) | 33.41% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.81% ( -0.14) | 55.19% ( 0.14) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.38% ( -0.03) | 6.62% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 75.41% ( -0.09) | 24.59% ( 0.09) |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.05% ( -0.05) | 48.95% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.08% ( -0.04) | 83.92% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Benfica | Draw | SC Farense |
| 2-0 @ 11.94% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 10.81% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 8.53% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 5.24% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.43% Total : 79.39% | 1-1 @ 6.28% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.05% ( -0)Other @ 0.74% Total : 13.31% | 0-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 2.24% ( 0)Other @ 2.74% Total : 7.29% |
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