SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 70.4%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 11.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.83%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.71%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 0-1 (4.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Casa Pia |
70.4% ( 0.23) | 18.33% ( -0.14) | 11.27% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 46.19% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.66% ( 0.39) | 44.33% ( -0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.29% ( 0.38) | 66.71% ( -0.38) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.64% ( 0.17) | 11.36% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.93% ( 0.37) | 36.07% ( -0.37) |
| Casa Pia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.11% ( 0.09) | 47.89% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.85% ( 0.07) | 83.15% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Benfica | Draw | Casa Pia |
| 2-0 @ 12.86% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 11.83% ( -0.12)2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0)3-0 @ 9.33% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 3.74% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 2.21% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.48% Total : 70.39% | 1-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.69% Total : 18.33% | 0-1 @ 4.01% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.58% Total : 11.27% |
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