Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 55.3%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 21.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
-0.35) 
0.07) 
