SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 45.66%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 25.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.47%) and 2-1 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for an Argentinos Juniors win it was 0-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boca Juniors in this match.
| Result | ||
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
45.66% ( 0.06) | 28.8% ( -0.02) | 25.53% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 41.89% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.23% ( 0.04) | 63.77% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.98% ( 0.03) | 83.02% ( -0.04) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.96% ( 0.05) | 28.04% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.3% ( 0.07) | 63.7% ( -0.07) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.22% ( -0.01) | 41.78% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.76% ( -0.01) | 78.24% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 14.89% 2-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.5% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.53% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 1.6% Total : 45.66% | 1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 11.71% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.61% ( 0)Other @ 0.48% Total : 28.79% | 0-1 @ 10.22% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.67% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.65% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.3% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 1.17% Total : 25.53% |
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