Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 9
Jul 20, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Diego Armando Maradona
We said: Argentinos Juniors 2-0 Boca Juniors
El Bicho have been one of the most consistent sides in Argentina all season, and the same cannot be said for the 34-time league winners, who have not shown much structure or been all that compact for much of the campaign.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.77%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 (11.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Argentinos Juniors in this match.
| Result |
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Boca Juniors |
33.47% ( -1.79) | 28.74% ( 0.26) | 37.78% ( 1.52) |
| Both teams to score 45.45% ( -0.92) |
| 38.95% ( -1.05) | 61.05% ( 1.05) |
| 18.97% ( -0.79) | 81.03% ( 0.79) |
| 66.03% ( -1.75) | 33.97% ( 1.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.35% ( -1.93) | 70.65% ( 1.93) |
| 68.84% ( 0.42) | 31.16% ( -0.42) |
