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Champions League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 20, 2024 at 8pm UK
Aspmyra Stadion
RS

Bodo/Glimt
2 - 1
Red Star

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 4-1 Jagiellonia
Tuesday, August 13 at 6pm in Champions League
Last Game: Red Star 2-3 Man City
Wednesday, December 13 at 5.45pm in Champions League

We said: Bodo/Glimt 1-1 Red Star Belgrade

With so much at stake, it could be a cagey first leg between two teams accustomed to blowing opponents away in domestic football. Red Star score so frequently, though, they are likely to find the net at some stage, with an away draw making them slight favourites to progress next week. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 61.37%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Red Star Belgrade had a probability of 19.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.1%) and 3-1 (7.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Red Star Belgrade win it was 1-2 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bodo/Glimt in this match.

Result
Bodo/GlimtDrawRed Star Belgrade
61.37% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 19.52% (0.0019999999999989 0) 19.11% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Both teams to score 62.32% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.92% (0.016000000000005 0.02)33.07% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.19% (0.018999999999998 0.02)54.81% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Bodo/Glimt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.52% (0.0040000000000049 0)10.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.89% (0.0039999999999907 0)34.11% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Red Star Belgrade Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.61% (0.024999999999991 0.02)30.39% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.41% (0.028999999999996 0.03)66.59% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Bodo/Glimt 61.37%
    Red Star Belgrade 19.11%
    Draw 19.52%
Bodo/GlimtDrawRed Star Belgrade
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.1% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.26% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 7.18% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 6.09% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 4.32% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 4.09%
4-0 @ 3.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 2.44% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-1 @ 1.85%
5-0 @ 1.55% (-0.002 -0)
5-2 @ 1.1% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-3 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 61.37%
1-1 @ 8.56% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 3.18% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.72% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 19.52%
1-2 @ 5.1% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 3.79% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 2.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.02% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 19.11%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 4-1 Jagiellonia
Tuesday, August 13 at 6pm in Champions League
Last Game: Viking FK 1-1 Bodo/Glimt
Saturday, August 10 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Jagiellonia 0-1 Bodo/Glimt
Wednesday, August 7 at 7.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Jagiellonia 0-1 Bodo/Glimt
Wednesday, August 7 at 7.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 4-2 Haugesund
Saturday, August 3 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: RFS 1-3 Bodo/Glimt
Wednesday, July 31 at 6pm in Champions League
Last Game: Red Star 2-3 Man City
Wednesday, December 13 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Young Boys 2-0 Red Star
Tuesday, November 28 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Red Star 1-2 RB Leipzig
Tuesday, November 7 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-1 Red Star
Wednesday, October 25 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Red Star 2-2 Young Boys
Wednesday, October 4 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Man City 3-1 Red Star
Tuesday, September 19 at 8pm in Champions League


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