SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivar win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 34.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolivar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bolivar in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bolivar.
| Result | ||
| Bolivar | Draw | Flamengo |
40.72% ( -0.46) | 24.33% ( 0.14) | 34.95% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 59.95% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.28% ( -0.59) | 42.72% ( 0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.88% ( -0.59) | 65.12% ( 0.59) |
| Bolivar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.92% ( -0.46) | 21.08% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.09% ( -0.73) | 53.9% ( 0.73) |
| Flamengo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.96% ( -0.1) | 24.03% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.7% ( -0.14) | 58.3% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolivar | Draw | Flamengo |
| 2-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.71% Total : 40.72% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.32% | 1-2 @ 8.02% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.17)0-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 3.81% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.36% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.92% Total : 34.95% |
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