SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 69.1%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Bolivar had a probability of 13.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 1-0 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.23%), while for a Bolivar win it was 1-2 (3.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Flamengo in this match.
| Result | ||
| Flamengo | Draw | Bolivar |
69.1% ( -0.27) | 17.72% ( 0.14) | 13.18% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 54.59% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.53% ( -0.34) | 36.47% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.39% ( -0.37) | 58.61% ( 0.37) |
| Flamengo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.45% ( -0.15) | 9.55% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.02% ( -0.36) | 31.98% ( 0.36) |
| Bolivar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.35% ( -0.02) | 39.65% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.67% ( -0.02) | 76.33% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Flamengo | Draw | Bolivar |
| 2-0 @ 10.44% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 8.18% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 4.44% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 2.26% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 2.09% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.03)5-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.27% Total : 69.1% | 1-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 17.72% | 1-2 @ 3.81% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 3.5% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.38% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.7% Total : 13.18% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
