Palmeiras have struggled for results on their travels and will need to be at their best against a Flamengo who have put together a solid run of form in recent weeks. The Rubro-Negro head into the game on a three-match winning streak and we predict that they will come away with the desired result once again.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 48.17%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Palmeiras had a probability of 25.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.28%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a Palmeiras win it was 0-1 (8.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
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