Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 11, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Hernando Siles
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Bolivar and Millonarios.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivar win with a probability of 55.7%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Millonarios had a probability of 21.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolivar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Millonarios win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolivar would win this match.
| Result |
| Bolivar | Draw | Millonarios |
55.7% ( -0.05) | 22.74% ( -0) | 21.56% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 54.92% ( 0.09) |
| 55.37% ( 0.08) | 44.63% ( -0.08) |
| 33.01% ( 0.08) | 67% ( -0.08) |
| 84.13% ( 0.01) | 15.87% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.92% ( 0.02) | 45.08% ( -0.02) |
| 65.27% ( 0.1) | 34.73% ( -0.1) |
