SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivar win with a probability of 55.7%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Millonarios had a probability of 21.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolivar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Millonarios win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolivar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bolivar | Draw | Millonarios |
55.7% ( -0.05) | 22.74% ( -0) | 21.56% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 54.92% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.37% ( 0.08) | 44.63% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.01% ( 0.08) | 67% ( -0.08) |
| Bolivar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.13% ( 0.01) | 15.87% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.92% ( 0.02) | 45.08% ( -0.02) |
| Millonarios Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.27% ( 0.1) | 34.73% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.54% ( 0.11) | 71.46% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolivar | Draw | Millonarios |
| 1-0 @ 10.14% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.34% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.06% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.73% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.79% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0)5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.45% Total : 55.7% | 1-1 @ 10.72% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.73% | 0-1 @ 5.83% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.05% Total : 21.56% |
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