Although Burton will enter Monday's contest off the back of consecutive home victories, they have tended to struggle on the road, having lost four of their last five matches.
We think that the Brewers could experience more away-day disappointment against a Bolton side that has won seven of their previous eight competitive home games.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 68.87%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 13.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 1-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.24%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-2 (3.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
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