SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 59.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 19.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.41%) and 1-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-2 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wrexham | Draw | Burton Albion |
59.37% ( 0.08) | 21.25% ( -0.05) | 19.38% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 56.47% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.09% ( 0.14) | 40.91% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.7% ( 0.14) | 63.3% ( -0.15) |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.55% ( 0.07) | 13.44% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.58% ( 0.14) | 40.41% ( -0.14) |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.24% ( 0.04) | 34.76% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.51% ( 0.04) | 71.49% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wrexham | Draw | Burton Albion |
| 2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.41% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 9.38% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 6.65% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.32% Total : 59.37% | 1-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.25% | 1-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.94% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.84% 0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 1.98% Total : 19.38% |
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