Shrewsbury have lost eight of their 12 away league matches this season, while Burton Albion have posted four wins in front of their own supporters. We are expecting a close game on Friday evening but believe that the hosts will just about shade the contest to collect a huge three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Burton Albion in this match.
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