SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 57.53%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 21.57% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.07%) and 1-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-2 (5.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
57.53% ( -0.08) | 20.9% ( 0) | 21.57% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 61.4% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.91% ( 0.08) | 36.09% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.81% ( 0.09) | 58.19% ( -0.1) |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.57% ( 0) | 12.43% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.65% ( 0.01) | 38.35% ( -0.01) |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.12% ( 0.12) | 29.88% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.02% ( 0.14) | 65.98% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.07% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.78% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.53% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.47% 5-0 @ 1.22% ( -0)Other @ 4.2% Total : 57.53% | 1-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.29% Total : 20.9% | 1-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.49% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.98% Total : 21.57% |
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