SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win with a probability of 41.19%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | Draw | Elgin City |
41.19% ( 0.4) | 26.3% ( 0.12) | 32.51% ( -0.52) |
| Both teams to score 52.53% ( -0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.96% ( -0.62) | 52.04% ( 0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.23% ( -0.54) | 73.77% ( 0.54) |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.06% ( -0.07) | 24.94% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.42% ( -0.1) | 59.58% ( 0.11) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.98% ( -0.65) | 30.02% ( 0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.86% ( -0.79) | 66.14% ( 0.79) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | Draw | Elgin City |
| 1-0 @ 10.39% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 4.02% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.55% Total : 41.18% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.3% | 0-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.53% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.35% Total : 32.51% |
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