SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 70.96%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 13.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.45%), while for a SV Darmstadt 98 win it was 1-2 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | SV Darmstadt 98 |
70.96% ( 0.15) | 15.69% ( 0.14) | 13.34% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 63.66% ( -1.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.41% ( -1.46) | 25.6% ( 1.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.31% ( -1.92) | 45.69% ( 1.93) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.55% ( -0.31) | 6.45% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 75.86% ( -0.88) | 24.14% ( 0.88) |
| SV Darmstadt 98 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.06% ( -1.44) | 31.95% ( 1.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.6% ( -1.67) | 68.4% ( 1.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | SV Darmstadt 98 |
| 2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.45)3-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.29)1-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.43)4-1 @ 5.53% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.18)4-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.18)5-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.11)5-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.13)6-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.08)6-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.12)Other @ 4.25% Total : 70.97% | 1-1 @ 6.45% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.19)3-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.39% Total : 15.69% | 1-2 @ 3.68% ( -0) 0-1 @ 2.35% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.65% Total : 13.35% |
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