SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 43.73%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | St Pauli |
43.73% ( -0.52) | 24.11% ( 0.14) | 32.15% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 59.8% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.48% ( -0.48) | 42.52% ( 0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.07% ( -0.49) | 64.93% ( 0.49) |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.35% ( -0.42) | 19.65% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.38% ( -0.69) | 51.62% ( 0.69) |
| St Pauli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.43% ( 0) | 25.57% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.56% ( -0) | 60.44% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | St Pauli |
| 2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 3.61% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.12% Total : 43.73% | 1-1 @ 11.14% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.11% | 1-2 @ 7.6% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 6.85% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 3.46% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.5% Total : 32.15% |
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