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Bundesliga | Gameweek 8
Oct 25, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Mewa Arena
BM

Mainz
1 - 1
Borussia M'bach

Lainer (55' og.)
Caci (74'), Widmer (89'), Amiri (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kleindienst (57')
Scally (40'), Sander (80')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mainz 0-2 RB Leipzig
Saturday, October 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 3-2 Heidenheim
Saturday, October 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Mainz 05 2-1 Borussia Monchengladbach

Given the poor away record of Borussia Monchengladbach, it is difficult to see how the visitors can secure a positive result on Friday. However, Mainz have been inconsistent at home, and if they win it is likely to be a close affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 42.49%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.5%) and 2-0 (5.65%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05DrawBorussia Monchengladbach
42.49% (0.030999999999999 0.03) 22.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 34.53% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)
Both teams to score 64.87% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.75% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)36.25% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)58.37% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.39% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)17.61% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.81% (0.021000000000001 0.02)48.19% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.73% (-0.02300000000001 -0.02)21.27% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.81% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)54.19% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 42.49%
    Borussia Monchengladbach 34.53%
    Draw 22.97%
Mainz 05DrawBorussia Monchengladbach
2-1 @ 8.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 6.5% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 5.65% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 5.06% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 3.92% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.27% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.7% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.42% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 42.49%
1-1 @ 10.06%
2-2 @ 6.77% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 3.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-3 @ 2.02%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 22.97%
1-2 @ 7.79% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 5.8% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 4.49% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 4.02% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-3 @ 3.49% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 2.32% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.56% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.35% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 34.53%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Mainz 0-2 RB Leipzig
Saturday, October 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: St Pauli 0-3 Mainz
Saturday, October 5 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 0-2 Heidenheim
Saturday, September 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 2-3 Mainz
Friday, September 20 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 1-2 Werder Bremen
Sunday, September 15 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 3-3 Mainz
Saturday, August 31 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 3-2 Heidenheim
Saturday, October 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 2-1 Borussia M'bach
Friday, October 4 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 1-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, September 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 2-0 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, September 21 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 1-3 Stuttgart
Saturday, September 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 0-2 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, August 31 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga


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